Lessons learned from the 2026 US midterms

There were surprises and nonsurprises in this year’s midterm elections in the US. Democrats were expected to win and they did. All the indicators normally considered in a midterm election pointed in that direction. And when reviewing state-by-state polling in key contests featuring vulnerable Republican senators, Democrats had the edge in all of them — Maine, Ohio, North Carolina and Texas. What was not expected was that Democrats would also beat Republicans in Iowa, Kansas and South Carolina. I