Gold Firms as Softer US Inflation Dims October Fed Hike Bets

Gold rose on Thursday after a softer-than-expected US inflation report tempered expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike this month, with markets looking to upcoming jobs data for further policy signals. Spot gold gained 0.8% to $4,187.43 per ounce by 0625 GMT, starting the month on a positive note after a more than 6% fall in September. US gold futures for December delivery firmed 0.7% to $4,217.50, Reuters reported. Data on Wednesday showed US inflation rose ⁠less than expected in ⁠August, while price pressures were revised lower for the prior month. The data reduced expectations of a rate hike in October, with markets pricing in a 36% chance, down from 45% before the release. Traders, however, still see an 89% probability of an increase in December. Higher interest rates reduce the ⁠appeal of gold, which does not pay interest. "Incoming data is going to be important... to see how the market deals with it and shapes rate-hike expectations," said Ilya Spivak, head of global macro at Tastylive. "We are in a situation where the market is dealing with a lot of conflicting forces." The crucial US nonfarm payrolls report for September is scheduled for release on Friday. Limiting gains for gold, the US dollar drifted higher. A stronger greenback makes dollar-priced metals costlier for holders of ⁠other currencies. All ⁠of gold's "September losses are unlikely to be recovered, but there are reasons to believe that the worst of the correction is over for now and that there is a case for higher prices," said Bart Melek, global head of commodity strategy at TD Securities. On the geopolitical front, Iran said on Wednesday it had received a US response to its latest proposal to resurrect the collapsed ceasefire, days after US President Donald Trump said he had rejected it. Spot silver rose 1.4% to $61.23, platinum climbed 1.2% to $1,727.18 and palladium gained 0.6% to $1,210.75.