Probability can be a funny thing and very much in the eye of the beholder. So, when Evan Hubinger, a top safety researcher at Anthropic, warned that artificial intelligence is advancing at a rapid pace without adequate safeguards and that there is consequently a 10 percent chance it “could kill all humans” within the next decade, the response was somewhat mixed between dread and dismissiveness. Usually, this level of risk is read as a relatively low probability. If a weather forecast suggested a
