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Opinion
Opinion Saudi Arabia
Thursday, November 5, 2026

Saudi Columnists Debate Whether Yemen War Can Be Won

Lead:

Three editorials in Al-Jazirah this week address the Yemen conflict through opposing strategic lenses. Writers dispute whether external intervention has prolonged the war, whether regional security posture is adequate, and how Saudi Arabia should calibrate its response to Houthi operations and international policy shifts.

Voices & Positions:

In Al-Jazirah, Sabhi Shabana argues that major power intervention — specifically by the Trump and Biden administrations — has repeatedly aborted military victories that could have ended the conflict decisively. He contends that external pressure to halt advances in Hodeidah in 2018 and the removal of the Houthis from terrorist designations in 2021 prevented strategic conclusions and merely postponed bloodshed at higher future cost.

In Al-Jazirah, Hassan Al-Yemeni questions who materially sustains Houthi operations beyond Iran's visible support. He implies that undisclosed state actors operate behind the scenes providing resources that align with their interests, and demands clarity on which powers benefit from prolonged instability in the Arabian Peninsula and the Bab al-Mandab Strait.

In Al-Jazirah, Abu Bakr Al-Musa reframes how military victory should be measured in asymmetric conflict. He argues that direct territorial control and exchange of fire are inadequate metrics when a state faces non-state actors with no legal accountability. Success, he contends, requires building sustainable security conditions that prevent the threat from resurging — a standard fundamentally different from conventional war assessment.

Tension & Convergence:

All three writers accept that Yemen remains a strategic challenge for Saudi Arabia. Shabana and Al-Yemeni converge on foreign complicity or indifference enabling Houthi persistence, though they name different culprits and mechanisms. Al-Musa diverges sharply: he does not contest external factors but rejects the premise that military metrics alone reveal policy success or failure. Shabana and Al-Yemeni imply the conflict can be definitively won; Al-Musa suggests the concept of "winning" itself requires redefinition in this type of confrontation.

Editorial Takeaway:

The dominant voice today is institutional caution: columnists acknowledge that Yemen policy cannot be evaluated by battle outcomes alone, and that sustained strategic patience — not external pressure or undeclared backers — defines whether Saudi security doctrine is working.

Saudi Arabia Brief

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