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Opinion
Opinion Lebanon
Thursday, October 15, 2026

Lebanon’s Salam Government Survives on Foreign Support, Columnists Warn

Lead:

Commentary in Al-Akhbar's opinion section over the past 96 hours centres on the structural fragility of Lebanon's government under Prime Minister Nawaf Salam, the competing foreign policy interests reshaping the southern border dispute with Israel, and tensions between state authority and sectarian power brokers threatening administrative coherence.

Voices & Positions:

In Al-Akhbar, columnists argue that President Joseph Aoun's intervention to resolve a dispute between Prime Minister Nawaf Salam and Defence Minister Michel Manssi over parliamentary authority reflects deeper constitutional ambiguity about ministerial powers within Lebanon's confessional system. The incident—stemming from disagreement over an amnesty law—exposed how sectarian alignments still trump institutional clarity.

Multiple writers contend that the Salam government persists not through institutional strength but through regional and international calculations. Its survival depends on external actors rather than domestic consensus, a condition that creates permanent vulnerability to shifts in Arab and international strategy.

On the southern front, commentators note divergence between United States and Israeli positions during negotiations in Rome. While technical progress occurs on maritime boundary discussions, writers observe that Israel appears to disregard ceasefire terms, and Washington's approach to both the Iran file and Hezbollah policy remains inconsistent and reactive.

Several contributors argue that Lebanon cannot transition from sectarian logic to state logic while geopolitical alliances in the Middle East and globally remain structured around sectarian and strategic blocs. This structural impossibility, they suggest, undermines any domestic institutional reform effort.

Writers also address Turkish mediation efforts between Syrian President Ahmad Shara and Hezbollah, framed as potential dialogue serving Syrian and Lebanese interests, though outcomes remain speculative.

Tension & Convergence:

Writers converge on the proposition that Lebanon's institutional crises are symptoms of external dependence rather than root causes. Divergence emerges on whether constitutional reform or state-building can succeed without prior regional realignment. Some columnists imply Lebanese agency in this process; others view Lebanon as fundamentally subordinate to foreign interests.

Editorial Takeaway:

The dominant voice today is that Lebanon's government survives on borrowed time and borrowed will—neither its own institutional capacity nor domestic political consensus sustains it.

Lebanon Brief

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