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Economy
Economy UAE
Thursday, October 8, 2026

Brent Crude Tops $104 as Gulf Shipping Attacks Fuel Supply Fears

Overview:

UAE equity markets deepened losses on Thursday amid escalating regional tensions, while the Islamic banking sector reported robust growth over the first eight months of 2026. Concurrently, the Emirates pursued multiple economic initiatives, including expanded air routes to Jordan, new trade agreements with Thailand and Belgium, and real estate developments. Global commodity prices remained volatile, with oil and precious metals fluctuating amid Middle Eastern supply concerns and shifting monetary policy signals from major central banks.

Details:

Islamic banking assets in the UAE grew 6 percent—or 57.8 billion dirhams—during the first eight months of 2026, reaching 1.022 trillion dirhams by end of August. Savings deposits across the UAE banking sector (excluding interbank and government deposits) increased 6.8 percent, or 27.34 billion dirhams, over the same period. These gains reflect deepening retail confidence in domestic financial institutions.

On the aviation front, Air Arabia announced plans to launch four weekly flights from Sharjah International Airport to Amman Airport starting November 15, 2026, extending regional connectivity. The UAE and Thailand concluded negotiations on a comprehensive economic partnership agreement, marking a significant step in bilateral relations. Separately, the UAE Chamber of Commerce led a trade mission to Belgium, while Abu Dhabi Chamber of Commerce signed a cooperation framework with the Indian Chamber of Commerce federation to expand business partnerships.

Oil prices rallied on Thursday despite International Energy Agency commitments to accelerate strategic reserve drawdowns. Brent crude breached the 104 dollar per barrel mark, driven by persistent Middle East supply concerns following increased shipping attacks in the Gulf and Strait of Hormuz. The euro declined to 1.11 dollars, near an 17-month low, as sovereign bond yield spreads between Germany and France widened. Gold retreated 2 percent in spot trading while silver fell more than 3 percent ahead of U.S. Federal Reserve meeting minutes. American stock futures declined as investors balanced rising Treasury yields against energy sector strength.

Outlook:

Market participants are monitoring geopolitical developments affecting Middle East oil supply and regional equity valuations closely. The Federal Reserve's policy signals, reflected in recent committee minutes, will likely drive currency movements and influence relative attractiveness of equity and fixed-income assets through year-end.

UAE Brief

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