Iran’s long political arc: Power, paradox, and regional escalation

In recent weeks, the regime’s crisis has intensified. It has expanded its conflict with the broader regional environment, including escalating tensions with Gulf states, thereby turning doubt about its intentions into greater certainty. It has also raised threats regarding the Strait of Hormuz, drawing widespread international concern and criticism for violating international norms and laws. In these steps, as in its military buildup and nuclear program, it becomes clear how deeply the three aforementioned elements have taken hold of the regime, to the point of suffocation.