From Hormuz to Beirut: The hidden map of a new global confrontation

In an unprecedented development, a preliminary negotiation track between Lebanon and Israel has begun at the ambassadorial level, under the sponsorship of U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio in Washington, in an attempt to contain escalation and prevent the southern front from sliding into full-scale confrontation. Yet this path faces clear internal division: on one side stands the state’s position, expressed by President Joseph Aoun, calling for the consolidation of sovereignty and the restriction of military decision-making, while another discourse by Hezbollah, voiced by its Secretary-General Naim Qassem, directly links Lebanon to the regional axis of confrontation, further deepening internal fragility.